| Player | In Play | 실제 아웃수 |
예상된 아웃수 |
DER | Predicted DER | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Kennedy | 2036 | 247 | 226.55 | 0.121 | 0.111 | 109.03 |
| Mike Fontenot | 1448 | 175 | 160.82 | 0.121 | 0.111 | 108.82 |
| Emilio Bonifacio | 1008 | 100 | 93.17 | 0.099 | 0.092 | 107.33 |
| Chase Utley | 4231 | 513 | 485.09 | 0.121 | 0.115 | 105.75 |
| Marco Scutaro | 1077 | 144 | 136.95 | 0.134 | 0.127 | 105.15 |
| Placido Polanco | 3806 | 424 | 405.94 | 0.111 | 0.107 | 104.45 |
| Dan Uggla | 3841 | 465 | 445.31 | 0.121 | 0.116 | 104.42 |
| Howie Kendrick | 2341 | 308 | 295.94 | 0.132 | 0.126 | 104.07 |
| Joe Inglett | 1554 | 205 | 197.44 | 0.132 | 0.127 | 103.83 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | 2446 | 316 | 304.98 | 0.129 | 0.125 | 103.61 |
| Juan Uribe | 1112 | 138 | 133.57 | 0.124 | 0.120 | 103.32 |
| Brandon Phillips | 3704 | 429 | 416.27 | 0.116 | 0.112 | 103.06 |
| Clint Barmes | 1519 | 183 | 177.61 | 0.120 | 0.117 | 103.03 |
| Mark Ellis | 3006 | 373 | 365.23 | 0.124 | 0.122 | 102.13 |
| Alexi Casilla | 2611 | 288 | 282.01 | 0.110 | 0.108 | 102.12 |
| Orlando Hudson | 2668 | 346 | 339.70 | 0.130 | 0.127 | 101.86 |
| Kaz Matsui | 2485 | 267 | 265.25 | 0.107 | 0.107 | 100.66 |
| Rickie Weeks | 3150 | 355 | 353.07 | 0.113 | 0.112 | 100.55 |
| Dustin Pedroia | 4003 | 479 | 477.12 | 0.120 | 0.119 | 100.39 |
| Brian Roberts | 4195 | 471 | 469.83 | 0.112 | 0.112 | 100.25 |
| Robinson Cano | 4152 | 531 | 530.64 | 0.128 | 0.128 | 100.07 |
| Sean Rodriguez | 1229 | 149 | 148.91 | 0.121 | 0.121 | 100.06 |
| Mark Loretta | 1110 | 129 | 128.96 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 100.03 |
| Jose Lopez | 3861 | 531 | 533.54 | 0.138 | 0.138 | 99.52 |
| Alexei Ramirez | 3081 | 371 | 373.04 | 0.120 | 0.121 | 99.45 |
| Luis Castillo | 2054 | 219 | 220.31 | 0.107 | 0.107 | 99.41 |
| Mark Grudzielanek | 2175 | 280 | 282.08 | 0.129 | 0.130 | 99.26 |
| Tadahito Iguchi | 1962 | 217 | 218.94 | 0.111 | 0.112 | 99.12 |
| Jamey Carroll | 1800 | 206 | 207.94 | 0.114 | 0.116 | 99.07 |
| Ian Kinsler | 3462 | 413 | 417.34 | 0.119 | 0.121 | 98.96 |
| Kelly Johnson | 3631 | 441 | 448.84 | 0.121 | 0.124 | 98.25 |
| Mark DeRosa | 1930 | 232 | 236.45 | 0.120 | 0.123 | 98.12 |
| Freddy Sanchez | 3688 | 368 | 378.01 | 0.100 | 0.102 | 97.35 |
| Eugenio Velez | 1355 | 128 | 133.20 | 0.094 | 0.098 | 96.09 |
| Jeff Baker | 1174 | 139 | 144.85 | 0.118 | 0.123 | 95.96 |
| Felipe Lopez | 2435 | 266 | 279.15 | 0.109 | 0.115 | 95.29 |
| Aaron Hill | 1375 | 164 | 172.51 | 0.119 | 0.125 | 95.07 |
| Akinori Iwamura | 3916 | 435 | 457.88 | 0.111 | 0.117 | 95.00 |
| Aaron Miles | 1551 | 171 | 182.78 | 0.110 | 0.118 | 93.55 |
| Alberto Callaspo | 1128 | 128 | 137.62 | 0.113 | 0.122 | 93.01 |
| Ray Durham | 2160 | 212 | 228.31 | 0.098 | 0.106 | 92.86 |
| Edgar Gonzalez | 1701 | 191 | 205.90 | 0.112 | 0.121 | 92.76 |
| Brendan Harris | 1016 | 101 | 109.08 | 0.099 | 0.107 | 92.59 |
| Damion Easley | 1607 | 170 | 186.57 | 0.106 | 0.116 | 91.12 |
| Jeff Kent | 2630 | 290 | 318.37 | 0.110 | 0.121 | 91.09 |
☞ One thing I need to look at more closely is why Dan Uggla does so well. In the previous post on shortstops, a couple of commenters wanted more proof that this system actually works. I was a bit suprised by Akinori Iwamura rating so low, so I thought I would look at his poorest plays to see if they made sense. Of his four worst plays, all with a probablility of .889 or higher of being turned, two were errors hit right at him. One was a grounder to his right when he was playing too far left (poor positioning) and one was just bad judgement on a double play ball.
To compare, I looked at Utley's best play, since he was the best regular at the position. All three of his best plays were balls to the right of first base that got by Howard off the bats of left handers. In each case, Utley ranged into the outfield to field the ball and throw out the batter at first, twice I believe to the pitcher covering. He made those plays because Howard couldn't, but he was positioned so well he was in the right place to cover for Ryan.
The other thing I noticed is that toughest plays Utley made were much tougher than the best plays Iwamura executed. At the other end, easiest balls in play that Iwamura failed to turn into outs were much easier than Utley's worse plays.
If anyone would like to review video on MLB.com for a particular player, I'll be happy to send you the dates and innings of their best and worst plays.
In case you want to check my work, Iwamura's worst plays were on 9/7, 3rd inning, 8/20, 9th inning, 4/25, 9th inning, 7/30, 5th inning. Utley's best plays were on 7/23, 1st inning, 7/1, 1st inning and 8/3, 3rd inning.
☞ 데이빗 핀토의 2008년 2루수 PMR 순위입니다. 핀토의 수비스탯은 MGL의 UZR의 아이디어를 보다 구체적으로 실현했으며, 전 타구를 대상으로 측정을 했다는 점에서 더 신뢰도를 높일수 있었습니다.
I was basically repeating work done by Mitchel Lichtman which he named the Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR).
핀토는 다음의 6가지 요소를 바탕으로 수비수의 능력을 측정했습니다.
1. 공이 떨어진 지역
2. 타구의 유형 (플라이볼, 그라운드볼, 라인드라이브, 번트)
3. 타구의 강도 (슬로우, 미듐, 하드)
4. 경기장
5. 투수의 유형 (좌,우투수)
6. 타자의 유형 (좌,우타자)
