2008년 좌익수 Probabilistic Model of Range 순위
| Player | In Play | 실제 아웃수 |
예상된 아웃수 |
DER | Predicted DER | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skip Schumaker | 1085 | 85 | 73.79 | 0.078 | 0.068 | 115.20 |
| David DeJesus | 1522 | 136 | 121.91 | 0.089 | 0.080 | 111.56 |
| Brandon Boggs | 1818 | 131 | 118.10 | 0.072 | 0.065 | 110.92 |
| Matt Joyce | 1249 | 94 | 84.77 | 0.075 | 0.068 | 110.89 |
| Ben Francisco | 2021 | 150 | 138.34 | 0.074 | 0.068 | 108.43 |
| Juan Pierre | 1816 | 125 | 116.83 | 0.069 | 0.064 | 107.00 |
| Willie Harris | 1685 | 145 | 135.55 | 0.086 | 0.080 | 106.97 |
| Carl Crawford | 2715 | 231 | 217.97 | 0.085 | 0.080 | 105.98 |
| Conor Jackson | 1944 | 146 | 139.06 | 0.075 | 0.072 | 104.99 |
| Gregor Blanco | 1547 | 86 | 82.08 | 0.056 | 0.053 | 104.78 |
| Jay Payton | 1293 | 132 | 126.31 | 0.102 | 0.098 | 104.51 |
| Luke Scott | 2668 | 200 | 196.08 | 0.075 | 0.073 | 102.00 |
| Johnny Damon | 1998 | 155 | 152.00 | 0.078 | 0.076 | 101.97 |
| Ryan Braun | 3919 | 275 | 270.93 | 0.070 | 0.069 | 101.50 |
| Wily Mo Pena | 1260 | 99 | 97.68 | 0.079 | 0.078 | 101.35 |
| Carlos Lee | 2840 | 187 | 185.42 | 0.066 | 0.065 | 100.85 |
| David Dellucci | 1164 | 75 | 74.64 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 100.48 |
| Adam Dunn | 2942 | 210 | 209.06 | 0.071 | 0.071 | 100.45 |
| Alfonso Soriano | 2653 | 186 | 185.23 | 0.070 | 0.070 | 100.42 |
| Fred Lewis | 2622 | 178 | 177.57 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 100.24 |
| Carlos Quentin | 3465 | 228 | 228.42 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 99.81 |
| Jack Cust | 1753 | 129 | 129.74 | 0.074 | 0.074 | 99.43 |
| Emil Brown | 1229 | 89 | 89.70 | 0.072 | 0.073 | 99.21 |
| Chase Headley | 2159 | 156 | 157.62 | 0.072 | 0.073 | 98.97 |
| Matt Holliday | 3850 | 240 | 243.20 | 0.062 | 0.063 | 98.68 |
| Manny Ramirez | 2894 | 190 | 193.40 | 0.066 | 0.067 | 98.24 |
| Adam Lind | 1712 | 113 | 115.52 | 0.066 | 0.067 | 97.81 |
| Xavier Nady | 1212 | 87 | 89.04 | 0.072 | 0.073 | 97.71 |
| Chris Duncan | 1012 | 73 | 74.80 | 0.072 | 0.074 | 97.59 |
| Raul Ibanez | 4203 | 303 | 312.07 | 0.072 | 0.074 | 97.09 |
| Garret Anderson | 2113 | 144 | 148.53 | 0.068 | 0.070 | 96.95 |
| Jose Guillen | 1098 | 83 | 85.62 | 0.076 | 0.078 | 96.94 |
| Luis Gonzalez | 1547 | 105 | 109.32 | 0.068 | 0.071 | 96.05 |
| David Murphy | 1317 | 86 | 89.62 | 0.065 | 0.068 | 95.96 |
| Josh Willingham | 2551 | 166 | 173.80 | 0.065 | 0.068 | 95.51 |
| Eric Byrnes | 1209 | 76 | 80.12 | 0.063 | 0.066 | 94.86 |
| Jason Bay | 4215 | 254 | 268.19 | 0.060 | 0.064 | 94.71 |
| Marcus Thames | 1537 | 120 | 127.42 | 0.078 | 0.083 | 94.18 |
| Delmon Young | 4209 | 282 | 301.19 | 0.067 | 0.072 | 93.63 |
| Pat Burrell | 3646 | 202 | 223.39 | 0.055 | 0.061 | 90.42 |
☞ Ryan Braun is the first player on the list on the field in left for over 3000 balls in play. Some of this was caused by injuries (Soriano, Matsui), but for the most part, managers mix and match at the position. The move to left was clearly the right one for Braun.
The other rankings of note belong to Manny Ramirez and Jason Bay. Manny actually did better than Jason in 2008. I'm going to need to break down the two by team to see how much the parks might have made a difference. Bay certainly looked better than Manny watching him play for the Red Sox.
All those late inning substitutions Charlie Manuel made for Pat Burrell looked proper, also. Pat ranks as the worst leftfielder in baseball in 2008, so it's no wonder Charlie wanted a better glove in left when the Phillies had the lead late.
☞ 데이빗 핀토의 2008년 좌익수 PMR 순위입니다. 핀토의 수비스탯은 MGL의 UZR의 아이디어를 보다 구체적으로 실현했으며, 전 타구를 대상으로 측정을 했다는 점에서 더 신뢰도를 높일수 있었습니다.
I was basically repeating work done by Mitchel Lichtman which he named the Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR).
핀토는 다음의 6가지 요소를 바탕으로 수비수의 능력을 측정했습니다.
1. 공이 떨어진 지역
2. 타구의 유형 (플라이볼, 그라운드볼, 라인드라이브, 번트)
3. 타구의 강도 (슬로우, 미듐, 하드)
4. 경기장
5. 투수의 유형 (좌,우투수)
6. 타자의 유형 (좌,우타자)