06~08 포지션별 수비랭킹/06년 포지션별 수비랭킹

2006년 투수 Probabilistic Model of Range 순위

쏘왓의 야구블로그 2009. 2. 19. 08:00
Player

InPlay

횟수

실제

아웃수

 

예상된

아웃수

Out Difference Out Ratio
Greg Maddux 688 53 32.45 20.55 163.31
Jae Seo 528 20 14.26 5.74 140.21
Johan Santana 603 35 25.25 9.75 138.60
Justin B Verlander 564 18 13.38 4.62 134.55
Cory Lidle 516 35 28.44 6.56 123.06
Tom Glavine 621 43 35.04 7.96 122.73
Jake Peavy 542 28 22.88 5.12 122.38
Bronson Arroyo 707 35 28.61 6.39 122.32
Kevin Millwood 670 31 25.60 5.40 121.08
John Lackey 635 28 23.44 4.56 119.47
Jon Garland 715 36 30.24 5.76 119.07
Miguel Batista 692 32 27.04 4.96 118.35
Jeff Suppan 634 24 20.29 3.71 118.29
Kenny Rogers 656 40 33.82 6.18 118.26
Jake Westbrook 720 45 38.28 6.72 117.55
Steve Trachsel 552 28 23.93 4.07 117.00
Mark Redman 573 26 22.25 3.75 116.88
Jeff W Francis 626 34 29.19 4.81 116.48
Matt Morris 687 28 24.05 3.95 116.42
Erik Bedard 583 25 21.87 3.13 114.33
John Smoltz 662 37 33.02 3.98 112.07
Dan Haren 668 27 24.14 2.86 111.86
Jamie Moyer 696 32 28.69 3.31 111.52
Brandon Webb 701 44 39.52 4.48 111.35
Josh Beckett 590 26 23.37 2.63 111.26
Felix A Hernandez 551 26 23.43 2.57 110.99
Javier Vazquez 594 30 27.25 2.75 110.08
Ted Lilly 524 24 21.81 2.19 110.03
Kris Benson 595 26 23.67 2.33 109.85
Josh Fogg 581 28 25.67 2.33 109.08
Paul G Maholm 559 37 34.11 2.89 108.47
Mark Buehrle 688 27 25.13 1.87 107.43
Jason Schmidt 607 18 16.86 1.14 106.79
Zach Duke 726 45 42.71 2.29 105.37
Dontrelle Willis 690 43 40.83 2.17 105.31
Carlos Zambrano 563 36 34.22 1.78 105.20
Noah Lowry 521 22 21.13 0.87 104.11
Livan Hernandez 720 35 33.68 1.32 103.92
Tony Armas Jr. 500 21 20.26 0.74 103.66
Claudio Vargas 538 18 17.48 0.52 102.98
Randy Johnson 590 26 25.40 0.60 102.38
Derek Lowe 716 48 47.07 0.93 101.98
Jason Jennings 655 27 26.56 0.44 101.65
Jose Contreras 614 23 22.72 0.28 101.25
Jon Lieber 557 22 21.90 0.10 100.46
Vicente Padilla 608 24 23.92 0.08 100.35
Clay A Hensley 571 27 26.96 0.04 100.16
Paul Byrd 647 17 17.00 -0.00 99.97
Curt Schilling 592 24 24.13 -0.13 99.45
Roy Halladay 686 34 34.22 -0.22 99.34
Brett Myers 549 24 24.71 -0.71 97.12
Chien-Ming Wang 758 44 45.46 -1.46 96.80
Ian D Snell 539 27 27.97 -0.97 96.52
Rodrigo Lopez 616 17 17.62 -0.62 96.49
Chris Carpenter 638 28 29.24 -1.24 95.75
Jamey Wright 507 21 22.00 -1.00 95.47
Brad Radke 549 22 23.15 -1.15 95.03
Aaron Cook 744 50 52.72 -2.72 94.84
Mike Mussina 570 22 23.24 -1.24 94.68
Jarrod Washburn 619 22 23.30 -1.30 94.44
Jason Marquis 648 32 34.47 -2.47 92.84
Gil Meche 539 19 20.53 -1.53 92.56
Aaron Harang 684 37 40.43 -3.43 91.51
Cliff Lee 658 16 17.57 -1.57 91.06
Andy Pettitte 652 28 31.06 -3.06 90.15
Kelvim Escobar 570 19 21.26 -2.26 89.37
Chris Capuano 677 28 31.75 -3.75 88.19
Matt Cain 528 18 20.59 -2.59 87.41
David T Bush 621 27 30.93 -3.93 87.31
Barry Zito 655 18 20.73 -2.73 86.84
Ramon Ortiz 654 21 24.24 -3.24 86.65
Freddy Garcia 695 21 24.27 -3.27 86.53
Mark Hendrickson 537 22 25.79 -3.79 85.30
Esteban Loaiza 520 16 18.77 -2.77 85.25
Carlos Silva 664 22 25.84 -3.84 85.13
Jeremy Bonderman 615 18 21.26 -3.26 84.66
Brad Penny 583 19 22.54 -3.54 84.28
Roy Oswalt 668 29 34.57 -5.57 83.90
Doug Davis 619 24 28.70 -4.70 83.61
Nate Robertson 639 21 25.44 -4.44 82.53
Tim Hudson 705 30 36.92 -6.92 81.25
Ervin R Santana 603 14 17.33 -3.33 80.80
Joel Pineiro 569 18 22.63 -4.63 79.54
C.C. Sabathia 562 18 23.50 -5.50 76.58
Jeff Weaver 572 16 21.82 -5.82 73.34
Joe M Blanton 668 13 18.49 -5.49 70.31

☞ Maddux is head and shoulders above everyone else. To break this down further, he's +14 outs on ground balls, +4 outs on line drives, and +2 outs on fly balls (assume they're pop ups). On line drives, Greg was expected to make 1.74 outs, and he actually made 6. That's four single he likely saved. Based on this, he definitely deserved the gold glove.

☞ 데이빗 핀토의 2006년 투수 PMR 순위입니다. 핀토의 수비스탯은 MGL의 UZR의 아이디어를 보다 구체적으로 실현했으며, 전 타구를 대상으로 측정을 했다는 점에서 더 신뢰도를 높일수 있었습니다.
I was basically repeating work done by Mitchel Lichtman which he named the Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR).

핀토는 다음의 6가지 요소를 바탕으로 수비수의 능력을 측정했습니다.

1. 공이 떨어진 지역
2. 타구의 유형 (플라이볼, 그라운드볼, 라인드라이브, 번트)
3. 타구의 강도 (슬로우, 미듐, 하드)
4. 경기장
5. 투수의 유형 (좌,우투수) 
6. 타자의 유형 (좌,우타자)