2006년 유격수 Probabilistic Model of Range 순위
Player |
In Play 횟수 |
실제 아웃수 |
예상된 아웃수 |
DER | Predicted DER | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Everett | 3801 | 500 | 464.88 | 0.132 | 0.122 | 0.00924 |
Bill Hall | 3311 | 404 | 375.73 | 0.122 | 0.113 | 0.00854 |
Craig Counsell | 2274 | 310 | 290.98 | 0.136 | 0.128 | 0.00836 |
Yuniesky Betancourt | 4225 | 501 | 474.18 | 0.119 | 0.112 | 0.00635 |
Jason A Bartlett | 2570 | 348 | 333.97 | 0.135 | 0.130 | 0.00546 |
Julio Lugo | 2103 | 253 | 241.59 | 0.120 | 0.115 | 0.00542 |
Ben T Zobrist | 1395 | 173 | 165.55 | 0.124 | 0.119 | 0.00534 |
Khalil Greene | 3007 | 352 | 335.93 | 0.117 | 0.112 | 0.00534 |
Clint Barmes | 3411 | 404 | 386.61 | 0.118 | 0.113 | 0.00510 |
Juan Castro | 1743 | 205 | 197.03 | 0.118 | 0.113 | 0.00457 |
Jhonny Peralta | 4086 | 533 | 516.35 | 0.130 | 0.126 | 0.00408 |
Rafael Furcal | 4257 | 538 | 525.08 | 0.126 | 0.123 | 0.00304 |
Omar Vizquel | 3974 | 441 | 430.32 | 0.111 | 0.108 | 0.00269 |
Carlos Guillen | 3808 | 465 | 455.45 | 0.122 | 0.120 | 0.00251 |
Jack Wilson | 3485 | 454 | 447.27 | 0.130 | 0.128 | 0.00193 |
Juan Uribe | 3553 | 429 | 424.28 | 0.121 | 0.119 | 0.00133 |
John McDonald | 2024 | 237 | 235.34 | 0.117 | 0.116 | 0.00082 |
Bobby Crosby | 2595 | 307 | 304.87 | 0.118 | 0.117 | 0.00082 |
Alex Gonzalez | 2991 | 350 | 347.62 | 0.117 | 0.116 | 0.00080 |
David Eckstein | 3222 | 385 | 383.63 | 0.119 | 0.119 | 0.00043 |
Orlando Cabrera | 3903 | 433 | 432.08 | 0.111 | 0.111 | 0.00024 |
Edgar Renteria | 3958 | 446 | 445.44 | 0.113 | 0.113 | 0.00014 |
Michael Young | 4307 | 536 | 536.41 | 0.124 | 0.125 | -0.00009 |
Jimmy Rollins | 4206 | 499 | 500.05 | 0.119 | 0.119 | -0.00025 |
Ronny Cedeno | 3258 | 398 | 400.25 | 0.122 | 0.123 | -0.00069 |
Hanley Ramirez | 4016 | 466 | 470.25 | 0.116 | 0.117 | -0.00106 |
Alex Cora | 1338 | 163 | 164.76 | 0.122 | 0.123 | -0.00131 |
Geoff Blum | 1168 | 149 | 150.75 | 0.128 | 0.129 | -0.00150 |
Royce Clayton | 3338 | 400 | 405.01 | 0.120 | 0.121 | -0.00150 |
Jose Reyes | 3887 | 443 | 451.38 | 0.114 | 0.116 | -0.00215 |
Angel Berroa | 3670 | 412 | 420.32 | 0.112 | 0.115 | -0.00227 |
Miguel Tejada | 4027 | 465 | 477.25 | 0.115 | 0.119 | -0.00304 |
Derek Jeter | 4009 | 450 | 464.37 | 0.112 | 0.116 | -0.00358 |
Stephen Drew | 1475 | 161 | 170.45 | 0.109 | 0.116 | -0.00640 |
Marco Scutaro | 1773 | 207 | 218.44 | 0.117 | 0.123 | -0.00645 |
Felipe Lopez | 4245 | 438 | 469.73 | 0.103 | 0.111 | -0.00747 |
Aaron W Hill | 1273 | 140 | 152.71 | 0.110 | 0.120 | -0.00999 |
☞ It's pretty clear that Everett deserved the Gold Glove at shortstop this season. And as long as Tejada and Jeter keep hitting, they'll stay at shortstop.
I'm sure I'll get an earful from Boston fans about Alex Gonzalez's ranking. He's pretty neutral. I suppose after watching Renteria boot ground balls for a season, Alex looked like Ozzie Smith. Renteria also improved with his move to Atlanta, coming in fairly neutral as well. Gonzalez will be an improvement over both Lopez and Clayton in Cincinnati, but the Reds still need to find some offense.
And just to avoid an argument, if you look at just ground balls, Gonzalez does better, but not a lot better. He makes 8 more outs than expected on ground balls, so he's -6 on other types of balls in play. Everett still comes out on top.
☞ 데이빗 핀토의 2006년 중견수 PMR 순위입니다. 핀토의 수비스탯은 MGL의 UZR의 아이디어를 보다 구체적으로 실현했으며, 전 타구를 대상으로 측정을 했다는 점에서 더 신뢰도를 높일수 있었습니다.
I was basically repeating work done by Mitchel Lichtman which he named the Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR).
핀토는 다음의 6가지 요소를 바탕으로 수비수의 능력을 측정했습니다.
1. 공이 떨어진 지역
2. 타구의 유형 (플라이볼, 그라운드볼, 라인드라이브, 번트)
3. 타구의 강도 (슬로우, 미듐, 하드)
4. 경기장
5. 투수의 유형 (좌,우투수)
6. 타자의 유형 (좌,우타자)